☕️ Earnings blitz

Banks, BlackRock soar as deal-making rebounds, US inflation cools

Good morning.

It was a blockbuster night on Wall Street with major US banks and BlackRock smashing expectations. JPMorgan posted a record US$50 billion profit, Goldman Sachs doubled its earnings, and Citigroup unveiled a US$20 billion buyback. Trading and dealmaking surged in Q4, helped by market swings after Trump’s election.

BlackRock unveiled record US$20 billion revenues and cemented its dominance with US$11.55 trillion under management. US (core) inflation cooled, markets rallied and CEOs are eyeing regulatory tailwinds under the incoming administration.

But Jaime Dimon did warn: “geopolitical conditions remain the most dangerous and complicated since World War II. Ongoing and future spending requirements will likely be inflationary, and therefore, inflation may persist for some time.”

ASX as at market close. Commodities and crypto in USD.

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Market movers

Liontown surged yesterday, leading a rally across lithium stocks as Morgans flagged stabilising spodumene prices and a recovery ahead. Pilbara Minerals and MinRes also climbed. Despite spot prices improving since September, lithium equities have been oversold, leaving room for a potential re-rate if the recovery holds.

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The quick sync

  • Saudi ties to DAZN raise regulatory hurdles for News Corp’s $3.4 billion Foxtel sale.(Capital Brief)

  • VC firms are laying off staff and abandoning plans for new funds. Necessary correction or a sign of structural problems? (Capital Brief)

  • OpenAI backs Axios' move into four new cities, marking its first funding of local newsrooms in a bid to integrate journalism with AI tools. (Axios)

  • Even Harvard MBAs are struggling to find jobs, with a tougher market leaving nearly a quarter unemployed months after graduation. (WSJ)

  • Trump's new SEC team plans to freeze crypto crackdowns and rewrite rules, signalling a major policy shift on digital assets. (Reuters)

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Trading floor

M&A

  • El Jannah explores sale options, with CEO speaking to private equity firms on behalf of owner Andre Estephan. (AFR)

  • Advent Partners sells Flintfox to Enable, following a 160% revenue growth since 2020. (AFR)

  • Saudi interest in DAZN could heighten scrutiny of News Corp's Foxtel sale. (Capital Brief)

  • IFM Investors and HESTA invest in Splend Group to expand EV fleet and infrastructure. (Capital Brief)

  • AVJennings reviews $390m Ho Bee Land bid alongside a rival offer. (Capital Brief)

  • Private equity firms prepare bids for Blackstone's divestment of CMAX Clinical Research, tied to I’rom Group acquisition approval. (AFR)

  • Myer's Apparel Brands acquisition cleared as "fair and reasonable"; shareholder votes pending. (Capital Brief)

Capital Markets

  • US core inflation cools, sparking market rally and hopes for Fed rate cuts. (Capital Brief)

  • BlackRock sees record $641bn in new funds, surpasses $20bn in revenue, with strategic acquisitions and leadership changes driving growth. (Capital Brief)

  • TikTok to shut off US app on January 19 unless Supreme Court blocks the ban. (Capital Brief)

  • Stockland shares climb as Morgan Stanley sees growth potential from Lendlease acquisition. (Capital Brief)

  • Novonix raises $32.3m to fund synthetic graphite production in the US. (Capital Brief)

  • Morningstar calls Telix Pharmaceuticals overvalued despite raising its fair value estimate. (Capital Brief)

  • Fonterra will delist from the ASX next month to streamline operations and reduce costs. (Capital Brief)

  • UBS upgrades Guzman y Gomez due to strong sales, better margins, and growth potential. (Capital Brief)

  • Citi’s Banamex IPO, delayed by market hurdles and regulatory snags, may now stretch into 2026 as the Mexican banking unit struggles to recover lost market share. (Bloomberg)

VC

  • Atlassian invests in UK start-up Synthesia creating AI avatars for CEOs, valuing it at $2.1bn. (Forbes | AFR)

  • BrandHook's Pip Stocks launches a 48-hour accelerator to help founders refocus and rebuild after setbacks. (Startup Daily)

  • Coposit raises $14m in its first institutional funding round, following three years of bootstrapped growth. (AFR)

  • Convergence Medical's V01 robot for arthroscopy surgeries secures $5m from US investors. (AFR)

  • Quantum stocks surged after Google's chip reveal but slumped after Nvidia CEO's remarks; Australian startups unfazed. (Capital Brief)

  • Arbor Capital raises $20m for new tech-focused VC fund. (AFR)

People moves

  • Nine Entertainment reshapes its structure, appointing Amanda Laing to lead broadcasting and making several other leadership changes. (Capital Brief)

  • Tabcorp to hire Michael Fitzsimons for wagering operations, its second marquee hire under new CEO McLachlan. (AFR)

  • SEC sues Elon Musk for late Twitter stake disclosure, seeking penalties and profit return. (Capital Brief)

  • Canaccord Genuity hires Citi's Sam Forman to boost tech M&A efforts. (AFR)

  • Yancoal CEO David Moult resigns; Ning Yue named acting CEO. (Capital Brief)

  • Rob Silverwood to retire from PwC after being linked to a breakaway M&A firm. (AFR)

  • Citigroup is cutting 401(k) contributions for top US earners, cutting the cap from US$21,000 to US$12,000 as it faces pressure to slash costs. (Bloomberg)

  • BoE's Alan Taylor pushes for urgent rate cuts as UK economy weakens despite cooling inflation. (Reuters)

  • Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg will co-host a black-tie party celebrating Donald Trump’s inauguration, in a striking shift for the Meta CEO, who has largely avoided political events. (NYT)

  • Morgan Stanley reshapes M&A leadership, promoting deal veterans Lily Mahdavi, Ben Teasdale and David Khayat as it cements its status as a top US adviser. (Bloomberg)

  • Hong Kong billionaire Tony Fung sparks fury with $25,000 sale of champion racehorse Laws of Indices. (AFR)

☝️ Know about a deal or people move we don’t? Hit reply.

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The watercooler